Gut Feelings(Reprint) The Intelligence of the Unconscious by Director GerdGigerenzer Paperback, 288 Pages, Published 2008 by Penguin Books Bargain Price ISBN-13: 978-0-14-311376-8, ISBN: 0-14-311376-3
"在线阅读本书Why is split second decision-making superior to deliberation? Gut Feelings delivers the science behind Malcolm Gladwell??s Blink Reflection and reason are overrated, according to renowned psychologist Gerd Gigerenzer. Much better qualified to help us make decisions is the cognitive, emotional, and social repertoire we call intuition??a suite of gut feelings that have evolved over the millennia specifically for making decisions. ?? ..."
Simply Rational(1st Edition) Decision Making in the Real World (Evolution and Cognition Series) by GerdGigerenzer Hardcover, 328 Pages, Published 2015 by Oxford University Press ISBN-13: 978-0-19-939007-6, ISBN: 0-19-939007-X
"Statistical illiteracy can have an enormously negative impact on decision making. This volume of collected papers brings together applied and theoretical research on risks and decision making across the fields of medicine, psychology, and economics. Collectively, the essays demonstrate why the frame in which statistics are communicated is essential for broader understanding and sound decision making, and that understanding risks and unc ..."
How to Stay Smart in a Smart World Why Human Intelligence Still Beats Algorithms by GerdGigerenzer Hardcover, 321 Pages, Published 2022 by Mit Press Ltd ISBN-13: 978-0-262-04695-4, ISBN: 0-262-04695-4
"In How to Stay Smart in a Smart World, Gerd Gigerenzer shows why that’s not true, and tells us how we can stay in charge in a world populated by algorithms."
Rationality for Mortals(1st Edition) How People Cope with Uncertainty (Evolution and Cognition Series) by GerdGigerenzer Paperback, 256 Pages, Published 2010 by Oxford University Press ISBN-13: 978-0-19-974709-2, ISBN: 0-19-974709-1
"Gerd Gigerenzer's influential work examines the rationality of individuals not from the perspective of logic or probability, but from the point of view of adaptation to the real world of human behavior and interaction with the environment. Seen from this perspective, human behavior is more rational than it might otherwise appear. This work is extremely influential and has spawned an entire research program. This volume collects recent ..."
"Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart invites readers to embark on a new journey into a land of rationality that differs from the familiar territory of cognitive science and economics. Traditional views of rationality tend to see decision makers as possessing superhuman powers of reason, limitless knowledge, and all of eternity in which to ponder choices. To understand decisions in the real world, we need a different, more psychologicall ..."
Calculated Risks(1st Edition) How to Know When Numbers Deceive You by GerdGigerenzer, Director GerdGigerenzer Paperback, 320 Pages, Published 2003 by Simon & Schuster Mobipocket_Ebook ISBN-13: 978-0-7432-5423-6, ISBN: 0-7432-5423-6
"At the beginning of the twentieth century, H. G. Wells predicted that statistical thinking would be as necessary for citizenship in a technological world as the ability to read and write. But in the twenty-first century, we are often overwhelmed by a baffling array of percentages and probabilities as we try to navigate in a world dominated by statistics. Cognitive scientist Gerd Gigerenzer says that because we haven't learned statistic ..."
"In a complex and uncertain world, humans and animals make decisions under the constraints of limited knowledge, resources, and time. Yet models of rational decision making in economics, cognitive science, biology, and other fields largely ignore these real constraints and instead assume agents with perfect information and unlimited time. About forty years ago, Herbert Simon ..."
"How do people make decisions when time is limited, information unreliable, and the future uncertain? Based on the work of Nobel laureate Herbert Simon and with the help of colleagues around the world, the Adaptive Behavior and Cognition (ABC) Group at the Max Planck Institute for Human Development in Berlin has developed a research program on simple heuristics, also known as fast and frugal heuristics. In the social sciences, heuristics ..."
"The Empire of Chance tells how quantitative ideas of chance transformed the natural and social sciences, as well as daily life over the last three centuries. A continuous narrative connects the earliest application of probability and statistics in gambling and insurance to the most recent forays into law, medicine, polling and baseball. Separate chapters explore the theoretical and methodological impact in biology, physics and psycholog ..."
Gut Feelings Short Cuts to Better Decision Making by GerdGigerenzer Paperback, 288 Pages, Published 2008 by Penguin Group(Ca) ISBN-13: 978-0-14-101591-0, ISBN: 0-14-101591-8
"In "Gut Feelings: Short Cuts to Better Decision Making" psychologist and behavioural expert Gerd Gigerenzer reveals the secrets of fast and effective decision-making. A sportsman can catch a ball without calculating its speed or distance. A group of amateurs beat the experts at playing the stock market. A man falls for the right woman even though she's 'wrong' on paper. All these people succeeded by trusting their instincts - but how do ..."
Reckoning With Risk(Updated) Learning to Live With Uncertainty by GerdGigerenzer, Gardners Books Paperback, 320 Pages, Published 2003 by Penguin Books Ltd Mobipocket_Ebook ISBN-13: 978-0-14-029786-7, ISBN: 0-14-029786-3
"Gerd Gigerenzer's "Reckoning with Risk: Learning to Live with Uncertainty" illustrates how we can learn to make sense of statistics and turn ignorance into insight. However much we want certainty in our lives, it feels as if we live in an uncertain and dangerous world. But are we guilty of wildly exaggerating the chances of some unwanted event happening to us? Are we misled by our ignorance of the reality of risk? Far too many of us, ar ..."
Calculated Risks(1st Edition) How to Know When Numbers Deceive You by GerdGigerenzer Hardcover, 320 Pages, Published 2002 by Simon & Schuster ISBN-13: 978-0-7432-0556-6, ISBN: 0-7432-0556-1
"At the beginning of the twentieth century, H. G. Wells predicted that statistical thinking would be as necessary for citizenship in a technological world as the ability to read and write. But in the twenty-first century, we are often overwhelmed by a baffling array of percentages and probabilities as we try to navigate in a world dominated by statistics. Cognitive scientist Gerd Gigerenzer says that because we haven't learned statistic ..."
Risk Savvy How to Make Good Decisions by GerdGigerenzer Paperback, 336 Pages, Published 2015 by Penguin Books India ISBN-13: 978-0-241-95461-4, ISBN: 0-241-95461-4
"This is a fascinating, practical guide to making better decisions with our money, health and personal lives from Gerd Gigerenzer, the author of Reckoning with Risk. Numbers don't lie - but they often mislead us. From health risks to financial decisions, we often find it hard to make decisions because the statistics have been presented to us by 'experts' who misinterpret the data themselves. Here Gerd Gigerenzer shows how we can all use ..."
"Contrary to popular opinion, one of the main problems in providing uniformly excellent health care is not lack of money but lack of knowledge -- on the part of both doctors and patients. The studies in this book show that many doctors and most patients do not understand the available medical evidence. Both patients and doctors are "risk illiterate" -- frequently unable to t ..."
Reckoning with Risk Learning to Live with Uncertainty by GerdGigerenzer Paperback, 320 Pages, Published 2002 by Allen Lane ISBN-13: 978-0-7139-9512-1, ISBN: 0-7139-9512-2
Adaptive Thinking Rationality in the Real World (Evolution and Cognition Series) by GerdGigerenzer Paperback, 360 Pages, Published 2002 by Oxford University Press ISBN-13: 978-0-19-515372-9, ISBN: 0-19-515372-3
"Where do new ideas come from? What is social intelligence? Why do social scientists perform mindless statistical rituals? This vital book is about rethinking rationality as adaptive thinking: to understand how minds cope with their environments, both ecological and social. Gerd Gigerenzer proposes and illustrates a bold new research program that investigates the psychology of rationality, introducing the concepts of ecological, bounded ..."
Heuristics(1st Edition) The Foundations of Adaptive Behavior by GerdGigerenzer, Ralph Hertwig, Thorsten Pachur Hardcover, 872 Pages, Published 2011 by Oxford University Press ISBN-13: 978-0-19-974428-2, ISBN: 0-19-974428-9
"How do people make decisions when time is limited, information unreliable, and the future uncertain? Based on the work of Nobel laureate Herbert Simon and with the help of colleagues around the world, the Adaptive Behavior and Cognition (ABC) Group at the Max Planck Institute for Human Development in Berlin has developed a research program on simple heuristics, also known as fast and frugal heuristics. In the social sciences, heuristics ..."
"Contrary to popular opinion, one of the main problems in providing uniformly excellent health care is not lack of money but lack of knowledge--on the part of both doctors and patients. The studies in this book show that many doctors and most patients do not understand the available medical evidence. Both patients and doctors are "risk illiterate"--frequently unable to tell the difference between actual risk and relative risk. Doctors of ..."
"In recent decades, the economists' concept of rational choice has dominated legal reasoning. And yet, in practical terms, neither the lawbreakers the law addresses nor officers of the law behave as the hyperrational beings postulated by rational choice. Critics of rational choice and believers in "fast and frugal heuristics" propose another approach: using certain formulati ..."
"Hertwig , Ralph , Jennifer Nerissa Davis , and Frank J. Sulloway . " Parental ...
Hertwig , Ralph , Timothy J. Pleskac , Thorsten Pachur , and the Center for
Adaptive Rationality . Taming ... Jenny , Mirjam A. , Niklas Keller , and Gerd
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